Salvadorans voted for a populist maverick as their next president. But low voter turnout and a lack of friends in Congress promise to weaken the mandate of the president-elect.
In a strong rebuke to traditional parties, Nayib Bukele wins the Salvadoran presidency
By Lucas Perelló / lucasperello /
Democracy & Elections
In a familiar scenario in the region, Salvadorans upset with traditional parties are betting on a political maverick
By Lucas Perelló / lucasperello /
Nayib Bukele, a former FMLN member now running as a third-party candidate, is expected to win the first round on February 3rd. The question now is whether or not he will amass sufficient support to avoid a runoff on March 10th.
Policymaking
2019: Trends, risks and hard questions in Latin America
By Evan Ellis / REvanEllis /
Unresolved challenges of organized crime, weak governance and extra-hemispheric actors threaten instability and to erode U.S. influence. It’s time for U.S. policymakers to face some tough questions.
From Global Americans
Ten highlights from Global Americans in 2018
We combed through all of our publications from 2018 and selected what we thought were the best ten articles that captured the trends and events of the past year.
Foreign Policy & U.S./Latin America Relations
Taiwan’s struggle for partners and survival
By Evan Ellis / REvanEllis /
The ongoing PRC advance in Latin America and associated end to the diplomatic truce with the ROC has legitimately raised the question of who might be next to abandon Taiwan for the benefits that come with recognition of the mainland.
From Global Americans
Central America: 2030 Trends
The reports examine five specific areas—transnational security challenges, institutional capacity, economic growth, demographics, and technology—and how they will shape politics, economic and U.S. relations in Central America by 2030.
Facts and Consequences
Cutting aid to the Northern Triangle will only create the conditions for more migrants
By William Naylor / wm_naylor /
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Cutting aid to Guatemala, Honduras, and El Salvador would be counter-productive to U.S. interests, but maybe that’s what President Trump wants.
Democracy & Elections
An outsider candidate looms large in El Salvador’s February presidential election
By Lucas Perelló / lucasperello /
Widespread discontent with corruption-plagued traditional parties might result in a historical win for Nayib Bukele, a former FMLN member who is now running on a third-party platform.
Foreign Policy & U.S./Latin America Relations
El Salvador: A pragmatic U.S. response should follow Chinese inroads
By Jimmy McDonough / JamesNoJimmy /
Rather than ostracizing El Salvador, the U.S. should focus renewed attention on enhancing its support to Central American institutions working to enforce the rule of law.
China
El Salvador recognizes the PRC: Confrontation on the FMLN’s way out the door
By Evan Ellis / REvanEllis /
El Salvador’s change will likely contribute to the sense of urgency of the remaining states that recognize Taiwan to follow the Salvadoran example and close a deal with the PRC before the opportunities for negotiating compensation for doing so dry up.
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