After almost a quarter of a century of negotiations, a trade agreement between Mercosur and the EU could be signed soon. But the electoral uncertainty in South America as well as the protectionist tensions that emerged after Brexit could present risks for the agreement’s ratification.
In his first few weeks at the helm of Brazil, Bolsonaro has confirmed his intentions to drastically reduce preservation of the Amazon to boost economic activities, especially industrial agriculture.
The PT has an opportunity to frame itself as the progressive alternative to the Bolsonaro government, but it must reconnect with its base.
The 2018 elections in Mexico and Brazil turned on its head the investment norm driving Latin America’s two largest economies.
Mercosur must modernize to adapt to a new international geopolitical reality, but there’s no clear path forward. If it can’t reform, Mercosur risks joining the long list of failed dreams of regional integration.
Unresolved challenges of organized crime, weak governance and extra-hemispheric actors threaten instability and to erode U.S. influence. It’s time for U.S. policymakers to face some tough questions.
The reports examine five specific areas—transnational security challenges, institutional capacity, economic growth, demographics, and technology—and how they will shape politics, economic and U.S. relations in South America by 2030.
Since the incoming government of Jair Bolsonaro backed out of Brazil’s plan to host the COP25 meetings next year, five Latin American and Caribbean countries—Barbados, Chile, Costa Rica, Guatemala and Jamaica—have stepped up.
In recent years, Vladimir Putin’s Russia has become increasingly strategically interested in Latin America. Despite clear geopolitical goals, the Kremlin’s relationship with the region has been marked by pragmatic realpolitik.
A review of the main issues that will drive the foreign policy of the new far right Bolsonaro government, as well as the potential regional and global consequences.