Mercosur must modernize to adapt to a new international geopolitical reality, but there’s no clear path forward. If it can’t reform, Mercosur risks joining the long list of failed dreams of regional integration.
Can Mercosur be updated and reformed or is it a relic of the past?
By Nicolás Albertoni / N_Albertoni /
Policymaking
2019: Trends, risks and hard questions in Latin America
By Evan Ellis / REvanEllis /
Unresolved challenges of organized crime, weak governance and extra-hemispheric actors threaten instability and to erode U.S. influence. It’s time for U.S. policymakers to face some tough questions.
From Global Americans
South America: 2030 Trends
The reports examine five specific areas—transnational security challenges, institutional capacity, economic growth, demographics, and technology—and how they will shape politics, economic and U.S. relations in South America by 2030.
Climate Change
Latin American and Caribbean countries are competing to host the 2019 UN climate talks. That’s good news for the region and the world
By Guy Edwards & Isabel Cavelier /
Since the incoming government of Jair Bolsonaro backed out of Brazil’s plan to host the COP25 meetings next year, five Latin American and Caribbean countries—Barbados, Chile, Costa Rica, Guatemala and Jamaica—have stepped up.
Foreign Policy & U.S./Latin America Relations
Russia in Latin America: Geopolitics and pragmatism
By Roberto Mansilla Blanco /
In recent years, Vladimir Putin’s Russia has become increasingly strategically interested in Latin America. Despite clear geopolitical goals, the Kremlin’s relationship with the region has been marked by pragmatic realpolitik.
Foreign Policy & U.S./Latin America Relations
What will Brazil’s foreign policy look like under Bolsonaro?
By Gilberto M. A. Rodrigues /
A review of the main issues that will drive the foreign policy of the new far right Bolsonaro government, as well as the potential regional and global consequences.
Democracy & Elections
Bolsonaro should follow Lula’s 2003 example
By Patricio Navia / patricionavia /
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If Bolsonaro governs as a pragmatic and moderate president, he can put Brazil back on the path of economic growth without undermining democratic institutions.
Foreign Policy & U.S./Latin America Relations
What happens when Donald Trump meets Tropical Trump?
By Christopher Sabatini / chrissabatini /
President Trump has demonstrated an affinity for strongmen around the world. Now that he’s likely to have one in his neighborhood, don’t be surprised to see Jair Bolsonaro cozy up to the Trump administration.
Democracy & Elections
The winners and losers of Brazil’s elections
By Valeria Saccone /
Even while we wait for the October 28 second-round elections, the results for the national legislature and state and local offices already say a lot about the direction of the country.
Economics, Trade & Development
Donald Trump sets his sights on Brazil
By Nicolás Albertoni / N_Albertoni /
Trade-related negotiation benefits President Trump in two senses: legitimacy and compliance. After a successful renegotiation of NAFTA, look for him to turn to Brazil.
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