In the fourth episode of two gringos with questions, your hosts Chris and Ken talk to Francisco Rodriguez, Managing Director and Chief Economist of Torino Economics on Latin America’s 2019 economic forecast, Venezuela’s economic situation, and the case for not boycotting Venezuelan elections.
An interview with Francisco Rodríguez, Managing Director and Chief Economist of Torino Economics
Economics, Trade & Development
Can Mercosur be updated and reformed or is it a relic of the past?
By Nicolás Albertoni / N_Albertoni /
Mercosur must modernize to adapt to a new international geopolitical reality, but there’s no clear path forward. If it can’t reform, Mercosur risks joining the long list of failed dreams of regional integration.
From Global Americans
South America: 2030 Trends
The reports examine five specific areas—transnational security challenges, institutional capacity, economic growth, demographics, and technology—and how they will shape politics, economic and U.S. relations in South America by 2030.
Foreign Policy & U.S./Latin America Relations
While in Argentina for the G20, Trump should spare some attention for South America
By Nicolás Albertoni & Luis Schenoni /
U.S. President Donald Trump will attend the G20 meetings in Buenos Aires. This will be his first visit to Latin America. Despite a series of crises of global proportion, this is still relevant.
Economics, Trade & Development
Donald Trump sets his sights on Brazil
By Nicolás Albertoni / N_Albertoni /
Trade-related negotiation benefits President Trump in two senses: legitimacy and compliance. After a successful renegotiation of NAFTA, look for him to turn to Brazil.
Democracy & Elections
Macri’s Argentina: Shipwrecked by economic crisis
By César G. Calero /
The Argentine president will likely have to face feared stagflation, increasing social tension, and an emboldened Peronist opposition ahead of presidential elections next year.
Politics
Argentina is walking a thin red line
By Gabriel Salvia / GabrielSalvia /
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One year from primary elections, the future of Argentina is torn between economic stagnation, the debate over the decriminalization of abortion, and the corruption of the Kirchner years.
Economics, Trade & Development
Can India compete with China in Latin America? Not likely
By William Naylor / wm_naylor /
While the nature of the trade relationship between Latin America and India is similar to the Sino-Latin America relationship in its reliance on raw materials, hype over India as a potential alternative to China for the region is largely unfounded.
Human Rights & Multilateral Organizations
A Requiem for UNASUR
By Bruno Binetti and Ben Raderstorf /
UNASUR’s failure goes beyond political fortunes. The rhetoric of integration fell flat in the face of reticent national bureaucracies unwilling or unable to give up sovereignty and protectionist policies.
From the Classroom
A regional leader on Venezuela? Look to Argentina
By E.J. Richardson /
If Mauricio Macri wants Argentina to be taken seriously as a regional leader, he should work with its regional partners to punish the Maduro regime.
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