In the past week, chavismo has started to show shades of difference regarding President Maduro, the protests and the future of Venezuela. Could this be the beginning of end and the start of a peaceful exit?
Added to the very real risk of the flow of returning Colombians and Venezuelans fleeing across the border creating a massive refugee crisis, security experts are also concerned about a possible military conflict ginned up by a wounded Maduro government.
A reform that permits sitting president Juan Orlando Hernández to run for re-election and the divisions among opposition leaders make it likely that November 26th elections will produce little political change.
The spectacular collapse of President Michelle Bachelet’s popularity and generational divisions among Chilean voters have opened up the 28-year democracy’s party system with unknown consequences for this year’s presidential elections.
The enduring strength of U.S. institutions and civil society will mean less the “fundamental transformation” promoted by Trump supporters and more a “heated transition”—though still with uncertain consequences.