On the eve of a massive oil windfall, Guyana finds itself in the midst of a political power struggle, forcing the United States to walk a careful path between a comfortable partner and a regime it once looked on with suspicion.
Ivan Duque’s low approval ratings have been blamed on missteps, migrants and a mentor that never seems to go away. But there are structural reasons too, and those aren’t likely to go away after his term.
While Argentina and smaller countries from around the region have successfully improved perceived levels of corruption, many regional heavy hitters have slipped severely or remain among the world’s most corrupt governments.
Nayib Bukele, a former FMLN member now running as a third-party candidate, is expected to win the first round on February 3rd. The question now is whether or not he will amass sufficient support to avoid a runoff on March 10th.
Guatemalan President Jimmy Morales is playing constitutional hardball with the country’s top court, which in recent months has been the sole obstacle to his attempts to oust CICIG. Now the entire judicial system—and the country’s fragile democracy—is at risk.