Ante un Estados Unidos cada vez mas retraído de América Latina, el liderazgo de China en el plano comercial es incuestionable. Pero ¿será suficiente para penetrar la arena política? Alemania tiene un as bajo la manga que ya empezó a hacerlo jugar.
In switching allegiance from Taiwan to PRC, President Varela will likely bring more investment and support for his country. But is it a security risk for the U.S. in the region and its interests in the Canal?
This essay analyzes the multiple, simultaneous challenges and electoral processes currently affecting the situation and political-economic orientation of nations comprising the PacificRim, or spine, of Latin America. It examines the likely collapse of the trans-pacific partnership, the uncertain future of the Pacific Alliance, upcoming presidential elections in the next two years in Chile, Ecuador, Colombia, and Mexico, and another phenomenon, to conclude that the combination of these factors produces the possibility for significant change in the political and economic orientation of the region in the coming two years. It argues that such change, in combination with initiatives by the People’s Republic of China
Let’s be clear: NATO isn’t encroaching in the hemisphere, nor does China represent a stable path out of dependency for Latin America. The former is a convenient, traditional boogey man and the latter an ahistorical pipe dream.
Who to pick? The country led by the guy who regularly refers to citizens south of the border as criminals or “bad hombres”? Or the new seemingly dynamic global economy that has pledged to increase trade to Latin America by $500 billion?
In an ongoing series examining the consequences of President Trump’s policies on the region, Kevin Gallagher looks at what this administration’s trade policies will mean for China’s influence in Latin America.